THE LATEST so-called peace plan for Bosnia - proposed by the "great powers" has come to its sticky expected end with a rejection from Radovan Greater Serbia?
HERCEGOVI Karadzic and the Bosnian Serb leadership.
Milosevic has played his usual game of publicly "pressurising" the Bosnian Serbs towards a settlement and then backing them to the hilt when they reject.
The Bosnian Government, Serb control SERBIA KOsOVO who had earlier accepted the plan in order to wrong foot the Serbs (although it falls far short of what is acceptable to them have now withdrawn their support as well.
As far as the West is concerned their bluff has been called. They made this plan the "final offer" after which UN forces could well be withdrawn, the arms embargo lifted from Bosnia by the USA, and air strikes used to enforce "safe areas" policed by NATO.
How far any of this will now go, however, is far from clear. A unilateral lifting of the arms embargo by the US would cause a huge rift with How a Bosnian Serb army newspaper sees the conflict: the West punishes a little Serb for misdeeds committed by a Muslim (centre) and a Croat (right) the EU and pulling out troops and cutting aid convoys may well be every difficult as winter gets closer.
In any case UNPROFOR is the main lever for a settlement, and they will be reluctant to lose it when it comes to the crunch.
New phase It does, however, mark a new and more protracted phase of the war - the realities of which have been masked to some extent over recent months by the manoeuvre for a settlement - ultimately to the advantage of Аутор. Никола ОТАШ the Serbs.
The Bosnian army has improved its armaments to some extent over recent months.
However the continuation of the war under conditions of the embargo has one central logic - that the military advantage will remain with the Serbs, and the Bosnians will fight a mainly defensive campaign under every difficult conditions.
The need for continuing international solidarity to defend a multi-ethnic Bosnia and its right to national self determination is self evident.