Socialist Outlook

Socialist Viewpoint, International, Socialist Outlook and their supplements, 1984–2002

No end to world capitalist slump

· Socialist Outlook no. 12, November 23 1991 · 531 words

Economy Asia United States

Unsolved riddles of New London Maxwelf at the launch of one of his failed gambles: the London Daily News looking for sions that the worse is over and a new opposite direction crash. finally it is conceded that even the powerful Japanese borne out ly Japan and Germany, pay huge sums towards the war. Japan especsany renes on oil from the cult, and was com US so hard, it is still taking a toll in keeping the world economy in recession. for by borrowing. making helped propel the world economy into recession. throush interest hate cut, a new tenance on seynestan money-management techniques.

çain. Inflation is at a very low ebb internationally. If i about where we are in the long cycle tinued until about 1982. on the working class, than have occurred so far. Still waiting for the upturn: Norman Lamont WORLD capitalism has been in a deep recession since the late 1980s. Everywhere pro-capitalist pundits are boom is round the corner. But the signs are going in the In the last two weeks, news has been given of planned interest rate cuts in lapan and the United States, in an attempt to kick-start these economies into growth. These were not enough to prevent a mid-November stock market crash in Wall Street and Tokyo, generating fresh fears of a generalised Japan's problems are compounded by the enormous sum it promised to help finance the Gulf war - about S12 billion. A Predictions during the Gulf war itself that the costs would severely damage the United States economy have not been Rather, the US insisted that its most wealthy allies, especialelled to oblige. So while the cost of the war did not hit the But for different reasons, the US economy is itself still in recession. This is the legacy of the 1980s debt-led boom, when Reagan instituted his massive rearmament programme, paid American borrowing accumulated a mountain of debt, the US the world's biggest debtor. The eventual and nevitable result was government budget cutbacks, which o continuing recession in the US and the new one in Japan, recession in Britain can be added to the list. The Tories' hopes of an economic boom before the election have faded This continued international recession creates an obvious danger. Attempts are being made to overcome it primarily Buf cheaper money could casily start inflation raging limbs again, 'stagflation', slump plus inflation will be the of The emergence of a recession in Japan gives new clues of capitalist recession.

The first signs of a major recession in world capitalism the 1974-5 world recession. A temporary and hesitant uptum after 1976 tured into a new slump from 1979 - which conging the world capitalist economy into a speculative boom - Then Reagan's military Keynesianism intervened, drag:

Now this has gone into a new slump from The history of the last 20 years shows that world capitalism is locked into a 'long wave' of recession, a deep-rooted crisis of profitability, which expresses one of capitalism's most fun damental characteristics - the tendency for the rate of profit Restoring the rate of profits means a much deeper restructuring of the world economy, requiring much bigger defeats

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